iPhone 5: a vicious feedback loop

Why was everyone expecting the iPhone 5? Was it because journalists and bloggers were picking up on Google search trends and writing the stories that people wanted to hear?

Have a glance at this chart showing three years of search traffic (click for a live version

In previous years, search traffic has more or less followed the announcement – but for the (still mythical) iPhone 5, search traffic began to grow well ahead of time (a situation — as Scott Thompson has pointed out to me — probably only exacerbated by the delayed announcement.)

Bloggers and journalists are increasingly using social signals (search & twitter volume) to determine their editorial policy. After all, search and social are a good indicator of what interests your audience – and major traffic drivers.

In this case, however, the process created a vicious feedback loop. Even the more sensible commentators and analysts found that — when the conversation was about the iPhone 5, there was no virtue or value in writing about it in any other way.

I used Google to count the posts that mentioned “iPhone 5” in the title on some of the top tech blogs, MSM and online news sources — the numbers tell a story.

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